Picking up the mince pies, the turkey and a new sweater for your uncle whilst placing your vote for a major General Election might not be your ideal build up to Christmas, but loath it or lump it, that’s exactly what we have!
For the first time since 1923, a General Election has been forced upon us on December 12th. In fact the early phase of the 20th Century witnessed three December elections which took place in 1910, 1918 and 1923.
Parliament was officially dissolved on November 6th and since then, the major (and minor!) political parties have been battling and campaigning up and down the country in a desperate bid to win your vote.
This election has been billed by some as the “election of our lifetime” due to the dominating spectre of Brexit overshadowing all other political issues.
The old lines of left, right and centre have been almost swept aside for the contentious and slightly ambiguous division of remain or leave. 
It’s a fascinating demographic. Constituencies are extra challenging to predict this time round as the Brexit divide will almost certainly have an impact on whether people choose to remain with their alliances of Labour or Conservative or mirror their choice from the EU Referendum of 2016.
Therefore, as a betting proposition, the 2019 General Election is a mouth-watering but challenging wager and we’re here to try and make sense of it all!
We’ll assess the chances of all the main political parties and pinpoint the best election bets available for all scenarios and pick out some of the constituency best bets. So who’s going to win? It makes sense to kick off by looking at the markets for overall winner.
OVERALL WINNER
The Conservatives, led by Boris Johnson, are pretty much in pole position for the comprehensive election bets. We’ll look at the “most seats” bets later but in terms of overall winner, Boris Johnson looks set for a Commons majority.
Conservatives to win overall majority: 1/2 (Coral)
Labour to win overall majority: 25/1 (Unibet)
NO Overall Majority (“Hung Parliament”): 2/1 (Betfred)
Liberal Democrat overall majority: 500/1 (Boylesports)
In order to win an overall majority, the winning party has to reach 326 seats.
PARTY TO WIN MOST SEATS
The Conservatives are expected to achieve the most seats and the odds fully reflect this.
Conservatives 1/20 with Bet Victor
Labour 14/1 with Betfred
Liberal Democrats 200/1 with Coral
GOVERNMENT AFTER THE NEXT ELECTION
A much more viable betting option in this respect.
The Conservatives head the market but with the likelihood of a hung parliament still being discussed, other options come into play including power sharing deals which have characterised previous administrations including the current Conservative-DUP coalition.
Conservative Majority 2/5 with Unibet
Labour Majority 25/1 with Paddy Power and Betfred
Labour Minority 8/1 with Paddy Power
Conservative Minority 12/1 with Paddy Power and Betfred
BETTING ON CONSTITUENCIES
However, the best bet we can recommend is betting on marginal constituencies. This is a scenario whereby the current MP holds a slim majority and may or may not be vulnerable to a vote swing against them which may remove them.
We have selected five constituencies which could represent an exciting betting heat with some serious big players in potential trouble, including the current Foreign Secretary, Dominic Raab
ESHER AND WALTON
The issue of tactical voting has never been more significant than in this General Election. With the old party lines of left and right seriously undermined by the Brexit/Remain allegiances, seats like Esher and Walton come under serious scrutiny.
This area of SW London/NW Surrey is traditionally a safe region of the country for Conservative voting, however, the Remain vote was particularly strong here.
Dominic Raab has always been a crucial vocal advocate for the UK leaving the EU so it’s not entirely surprising that his seat is widely viewed as vulnerable, especially as the demographic has changed with an increase of young voters, expected to vote for Remain parties.
The Liberal Democrats are campaigning hard and even actor and Remain spokesman, Hugh Grant, is getting in on the act.
Therefore that 2/1 for the Lib Dems to cause an electoral upset here is tempting.
Current betting for Esher and Walton Constituency:
Conservatives (Dominic Raab) 1/2 with Betfair
Liberal Democrats (Monica Harding) 2/1 Betfred
CHINGFORD AND WOODFORD GREEN
The home of former Conservative leader and outspoken Brexit supporter, Iain Duncan Smith and he’s also in trouble.
The last election saw the Conservative majority sink to just 2,438 making it very much a target seat for Labour in an area which is dominated by discussions ranging from Islamophobia, vandalism and Universal Credit. 
The Labour hopeful, Faiza Shaheen, has lived in the area most of her life and she is receiving plenty of support from the Labour top brass in her attempt to unseat Iain Duncan Smith.
Current Betting for Chingford and Woodford Green
Very similar market to Esher and Walton with the tempting proposition being a Labour gain at 15/8 with Betfred.
Conservatives 4/9 with William Hill
Labour 15/8 with Betfred
WOKINGHAM
Another Remain vs Brexit electoral background this time pitching long time Brexit Supporter John Redwood against former Tory and now Lib Dem candidate, Dr Philip Lee.
Early indications suggest that the former Welsh Secretary should hold this but this still a predominantly Remain seat so remains vulnerable to tactical voting.
Current Betting for Wokingham
Conservatives 1/4 with William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power
Liberal Democrats 100/30 with Betfred
SHIPLEY
This could be another vicious battleground with the sitting Conservative Philip Davies widely renowned for his controversial views (supporting Donald Trump, openly against LGBTQ rights and multi ethnic communities) up against a Labour surge from the last election meaning tactical voting and the increase of ethnic youth votes having a major say in the final outcome.
This is worth keeping an eye on the last few days of campaigning.
Current Betting for Shipley:
Conservative 1/8 with Coral, William Hill
Labour 7/1 with Unibet, Paddy Power, Betfair.
UXBRIDGE and SOUTH RUISLIP
Not even the PM can escape scrutiny!
Boris Johnson’s seat could potentially be in trouble if the tactical voting scenario involves Lib Dems and Greens sacrificing their vote for the second placed Labour candidate.
The PM’s constituency always has a large turnout and an increase in non-white voters in recent years again could have an impact on the final result here.
Betting on Boris Johnson losing his seat:
Conservative 1/7 with Betfair, Bet Victor
Labour 5/1 with Unibet
RECAP
There are some very tempting betting propositions, however, the one that stands out is the Chingford and South Woodford seat.
The Labour Party are clearly pulling out the stops to win this, much like they did with the Sheffied Hallam seat in 2017, where former Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg was ousted.
Therefore, I think this will be a successful campaign to remove Iain Duncan Smith at 15/8 with Betfred.
Please note all odds are correct at the time of publishing (18:00 8th December 2019) and are subject to change.
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply
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