Betting Tips and Previews: Champions League

Betting Tips for Champions League 18th & 19th February 2020

Best Bets for Champions League 18th & 19th February 2020

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18th & 19th February 2020 Champions League Best Bets



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Tuesday 18th February 2020 Fixtures

Atletico Madrid vs Liverpool (8pm)

Dortmund vs PSG (8pm)

Wednesday 19th February 2020 Fixtures

Tottenham vs RB Leipzig (8pm)

Atalanta vs Valencia (8pm)

Liverpool to Win (Draw No Bet)

Liverpool head into knockout phases of the Champions League with the Premier League all but sewn up. An astonishing 25 point lead should guarantee Liverpool's first Premier League since 1990. Liverpool have only dropped points in one league game so far all season! Incredible!

Atletico meanwhile haven't been in great form, having only won in three times this year in nine matches they have played. In La Liga Atletico are sitting 12 points behind the leaders, Real Madrid. 

Diego Simeone is without a number of key attacking options including Diego Costa, Alvaro Morata and Joao Felix. Against one of meanest defences in Europe it won't be easy for Atletico to break through without their star names.

Liverpool have an astonishing eleven clean sheets in their last 13 games. With that in mind Liverpool to earn a clean sheet is 17/10 with Betfair and that looks pretty tempting.

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In Liverpool's previous three champions League knockout matches, Liverpool have recorded two compelling away victories against Bayern Munich and Porto, and a three nil defeat to Barcelona.

For any Atletico backers (you can back Atletico at 49/20 with Unibet ) you may take heart from Liverpool's two nil defeat against Napoli on the opening game of the Champions League group stage. 

Liverpool are overwhelming favourites to qualify to the next round, at odds of 1/3 with William Hill against Atletico at 12/5 with Paddy Power.

I would expect Klopp will be keen to leave nothing to chance to a second leg and try and finish the tie in the first leg. Liverpool should be strong enough nick the win or at the very least draw, and that's why I like Liverpool win (draw no bet) at 8/13 with Betfred

1st Bet:

Atletico Madrid vs Liverpool: Liverpool Draw No Bet @ 8/13 with Betfred!

Goals, goals, goals at the Westfalenstadion!

This looks a really mouth watering tie on paper! Two sides known for all out attacking and scoring lots of goals! It must mean goals right!? 

Dortmund have recently recruited one of the hottest young talents in Europe for a number of years, in Erling Braut HålandHåland has already scored 8 times in the Champions League this season and won Bundesliga player of the month for January.

If you fancy the young Norwegian to hit the back of the net in this one, Unibet are offering 59/50 anytime goal scorer and 23/5 first goalscorer

Erling_Braut_Håland_Dortmund.jpg

Lucien Favre has a team who are built to attack, but can be vulnerable to leak goals. Dortmund have scored at least four goals in five of their last six games. If Dortmund can keep that run going the 23/20 odds on over 3.5 goals with Betfair is well worth looking at!

PSG's recent matches have also been goal fests, averaging just under six goals in their last five games. If you fancy a repeat, Paddy Power are offering odds of 5/1 for over 5.5 goals in the game!

PSG have been victims to devastating Champions League exits in the knock out phases in recent years, including the last gasp Marcus Rashford penalty for Manchester United and the Nou Camp 'La Remontada.' Can PSG overcome the mental block in the Champions League

Neymar is the obvious danger man for PSG and will be keen to help his side advance to the business end of the competition having not featured in a Champions League knockout game for over two years. Unibet are offering 11/2 on Neymar to score the first goal of the game.  

The bookies have PSG as reasonably strong favourites in this game, at 1/3 with Betfair which is difficult to back given PSG spinelessness of recent years.

Although the last time the teams met (Europa League game in 2010) ended goaless, i'm backing goals to be the bet in this game and i'm going for over 3.5 goals with Betfair at 23/20

2nd Bet:

Dortmund vs PSG : Over 3.5 goals @ 23/20 with Betfair

RB Leipzig to pull of victory against Spurs

RB Leipzig are on a crest of a wave at the moment with the club having only been founded in 2009! Spurs are comparative Champions League veterans in comparison.

This is the first time Leipzig have made the knockout stage of the Champions League. The two sides have never met before, but it feels like the game and tie could flip flop!

Jose Mourinho is the ultimate master of knockout football, but I'm sure he'll be wary of RB Leipzig who play a very high intensity pressing game. Spurs grabbed a late goal against Villa to secure a 3-2 win against Villa on Sunday and somehow came away with three points against City in the league a few weeks back. Can Spurs keep digging out results? Unibet are best odds for the Spurs win at 29/20 if you think they can!

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Spurs are without their star player, Harry Kane, who remains sidelined for at least another 6 to 8 weeks. More alarmingly has been the way a usually defensive tight Jose Mourinho has seemingly allowed opposition teams get in time and again.

Leipzig's star player, Timo Werner will fancy his chances of breaching the Spurs defence, having already scored 20 goals in 22 games this season. 5/1 on Werner to score the first goal of the game with Unibet is very backable!

The betting markets genuinely see this as a bit of a 50:50 and can't quite decide who should be the favourite. If Spurs give RB Leipzig the same kind of chances away they have done to other sides in recent months, this tie will be won by the German side. I think that's where the value is and that's why i'm backing RB Leipzig to win the game at 19/10 with bet365.

3rd Bet:

Tottenham vs RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig to win @ 19/10 with bet365

Atlanta to pip past Valencia

Not one of the big glamour ties of the Champions League knock out stages, but an intriguing one none the less.

Both teams will no doubt feel delighted to be given the opportunity to make the last eight! This will be Atlanta's first Champions League knock out match. An amazing feat given Atlanta lost their first three group games!

Atlanta_Valencia.jpg

Valencia topped their group ahead of Chelsea and Ajax, but I think the covers up some vulnerabilities. Valencia are certainly a stronger side at home than away and I think both sides will capitalise on home advantage in a tight two legged affair. 

Atlanta have virtually a fully fit squad for the game. Given their decent home record I would be fairly confident the Italian side can take a positive result into the second leg. A 1-0 (7/1 with Bet Victor) or 2-1 (15/2 with Bet Victor) looks a likely result in the first leg as Valencia don't tend to pull trees in away European games.

I'm not going for anything too fancy, i'm backing Atlanta to get the win at 4/5 with Coral!

4th Bet:

Atlanta vs Valencia: Atlanta to win @ 4/5 with Coral

Please note all odds are correct at the time of publishing (21:00 16th February 2020) and are subject to change.

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Francois is one of Howtobet4free’s co-founders and has written many of Howtobet4free’s popular Betting Guides. Francois also helps run the @howtobet4free_ Twitter account

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