Swansea

(Form check: WLWLL)

Quite frankly it’s been a wretched season for Swansea so far, lying 19th in the table on Christmas day is no place to be!  The resiliency shown by the promoted teams has put pressure on the weaker Premier League sides but few predicted the Swans to be so deep into relegation battle. A slick passing side with some solid top division players I predict the Swans can find the form needed before it’s too late, the juicy 11/10 (at StanJames – Bet Here!) being offered on them staying up will certainly be in a Christmas accumulator or two!

2017’s around the corner and with the January transfer window about to open positives can be found, they’ll defiantly be looking to shore up defence after conceding 37 goals so far this season. With this in mind plenty of value can be had in today’s fixture with most of the bookies predicting goals goals goals! Swansea to keep a clean sheet looks big at 13/5 (with Ladbrokes – Bet Here!) but even more so the correct home score to nil looks a shade higher than standard, take Swansea 1-0 (10/1 with Bet365 – Bet Here!) or 2 – 0 (15/1 with Bet Victor – Bet Here!).

Only two long term injuries for Swansea with Ki Sung-Yueng and Frederico Fernandez sidelined.  Jack Cork and Leroy Fer look to hold to allow the pace of Barrow and Routledge to create chances for target man Fernando Llorente. I warn this is speculation though as in Bob Bradleys first 10 games he has failed to name the same team twice! One man who will definitely be starting is the aforementioned Gylfi Sigurdsson. The star turn of this team he could (and should!) be in a team pushing for top 6 and has on many occasion rescued the Swans. Sigurdsson to score 2 or more goals - 10/1! (with Boylesports – Bet Here!)

West Ham

(Form check: DLDWW)

With two wins on the bounce Slavan Bilic has stoked a little fire in the belly of West Ham but looking closer at the matches they were actually quite fortunate to win, especially last time out in the 1-0 over Hull.  After last season’s surpassed expectations West Ham were always going to experience difficulty this season but particularly the away form is worrying, winning once. One stat that might encourage Hammers fans though, they’ve scored in all but one away games this season! (Fancy two goals for West ham? Best priced 5/4 with SkyBet – Bet Here!)

With goals at both ends West Ham make an entertaining game but they are particularly dangerous at set pieces, 47% of their goals this season have come from a dead ball situation. Winston Reid, Antonio and Andy Carroll are all likely candidates to grab a goal in this game but Cheikhou Kouyate looks overpriced at 8/1 (with Coral – Bet Here!) considering he joins the others in the box on each occasion. Set piece maestro Dimitri Payet whipping those balls it’s hard to see West Ham not scoring one!

The hammers have a few injuries to fringe players but their first team looks fully fit, apart from the suspension to Pedro Obiang. Bilic has recently swapped to a 3-4-3 (The Conte formation!) which has shored up defence and allowed Payet a little more freedom. Personally I don’t think this is a long term solution and bigger problems lay with the actual technical ability of several team members, Carroll, Noble, Ogbonna and Randolph are questionable top 10 players. It’ll certainly be interesting what and if Bilic is allowed to spend in the coming month.

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STATS

• There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Swansea's last 5 games (Premier League).

• West Ham players have totalled 17 cards away from home this season (Premier League).

• The last three fixtures of this clash have been bore draws (Premier League).

• Dimitri Payet & Gylfi Sigurdsson both have 5 assists each this season (Premier League).

• Swansea heavily favour the right side attack (43%) (Premier League).

CURRENT MATCH ODDS [BEST PRICED ODDS]

Swansea: 8/5 (Coral) - Bet Here!  Draw: 11/5 (bet365) - Bet Here!  West Ham: 12/5 (Skybet) - Bet Here!

SUMMING UP!

I’m pilling more misery onto those Hammers fans and voting Swansea for the win. The last three repeats of this match have been draws, but both teams were in much better form, could keep a clean sheet and didn’t need the three points as much! Swansea at home are a different team, with 80% pass success and 13% goal conversion rate. West Ham simply can’t travel. Nothing complicated with this selection just pure statically based!

MY RECOMMENDED BETS

• Swansea 2 – 0 (15/1 with BetVictor – Bet Here!)

• Winston Reid to be booked (11/4 with Unibet – Bet Here!)

• Gylfi Sigurdsson to score from outside the box (7/1 with Unibet – Bet Here!)

• Swansea to lead at anytime (8/11 with BetVictor – Bet Here!)

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